Reduced Production Waste by 27% with Per-Flavor Forecasting Models

We helped an ice cream manufacturer dramatically reduce waste by building custom demand forecasting models tailored to each flavor's unique patterns.

Challenge: The client was overproducing and underproducing across their flavor lineup, leading to significant waste and lost revenue. A single forecasting model couldn't capture the distinct seasonality and demand curves of each flavor.

Approach: Built a dedicated forecasting model for each flavor. Evaluated 5 different model architectures per flavor. Backtested all 5 against historical production and sales data. Selected the best-performing model for each flavor — no one-size-fits-all.

Result: 27% reduction in production waste, translating to significant cost savings and more efficient inventory management.